📚 Introduction to Behavioural Economics: Measuring Utility Functions
This study material is compiled from a lecture audio transcript and supplementary copy-pasted text, providing a comprehensive overview of utility measurement in behavioural economics.
🎯 Overview: Understanding Utility in Behavioural Economics
In behavioural economics, a central goal is to understand how individuals value different outcomes. This involves constructing a utility function, which is a mathematical representation of a person's preferences. By quantifying utility, we can analyze decision-making under uncertainty and identify deviations from traditional economic assumptions.
🔑 Key Concepts
- Utility Function (u(x)): A mathematical representation of an individual's preferences, assigning a numerical value to the satisfaction or happiness derived from consuming a good or receiving an outcome 'x'.
- Normalization: For measurement purposes, utility functions are often normalized. A common approach is to set the utility of the worst outcome (e.g., €0) to 0 and the utility of the best outcome (e.g., €500) to 1. This provides a scale for measuring the utility of intermediate outcomes.
- ✅ u(€0) = 0
- ✅ u(€500) = 1
📊 Methods for Measuring Utility Functions
Two primary methods are used to elicit an individual's utility function, both relying on the concept of indifference and the Expected Utility (EU) theory.
1️⃣ Certainty Equivalent (CE) Method
The Certainty Equivalent (CE) is the amount of money 'x' that makes an individual indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and participating in a lottery.
- Process:
- A lottery is presented, typically involving two outcomes (e.g., €500 with probability 'p' and €0 with probability '1-p').
- The individual is asked to state the certain amount 'x' that they would consider equally desirable as the lottery.
- Calculation (under EU theory):
- If an individual is indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and a lottery (L) offering €500 with probability 'p' and €0 with probability '1-p', then:
- u(x) = EU(L)
- u(x) = p * u(€500) + (1-p) * u(€0)
- Given the normalization u(€500) = 1 and u(€0) = 0:
- u(x) = p * 1 + (1-p) * 0
- u(x) = p
- 💡 This means that for each certainty equivalent 'x' provided, its utility value is simply the probability 'p' of the lottery it corresponds to.
- If an individual is indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and a lottery (L) offering €500 with probability 'p' and €0 with probability '1-p', then:
2️⃣ Probability Equivalent (PE) Method
The Probability Equivalent (PE) method fixes a monetary amount 'x' and asks for the probability 'p' that would make an individual indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and a lottery.
- Process:
- A certain monetary amount 'x' is presented.
- The individual is asked to state the probability 'PE' (Probability Equivalent) such that they are indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and a lottery offering a higher amount (e.g., €500) with probability 'PE' and a lower amount (e.g., €0) with probability '1-PE'.
- Calculation (under EU theory):
- If an individual is indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and a lottery (L) offering €500 with probability 'PE' and €0 with probability '1-PE', then:
- u(x) = EU(L)
- u(x) = PE * u(€500) + (1-PE) * u(€0)
- Given the normalization u(€500) = 1 and u(€0) = 0:
- u(x) = PE * 1 + (1-PE) * 0
- u(x) = PE
- 💡 Here, the utility of the fixed amount 'x' is directly equal to the probability 'PE' that makes the individual indifferent.
- If an individual is indifferent between receiving 'x' for sure and a lottery (L) offering €500 with probability 'PE' and €0 with probability '1-PE', then:
🔄 Comparing CE and PE Methods
According to Expected Utility theory, both methods should yield the same utility function. However, in practice, they often produce different results due to cognitive biases, measurement errors, and violations of EU theory.
📈 Analyzing Preference Conditions
Once utility points are mapped, we can analyze whether an individual's preferences satisfy certain conditions.
1. Diminishing Marginal Utility (DMU)
📚 Definition: DMU states that each additional unit of a good or money adds less utility than the previous one.
- Graphical Representation: A utility function exhibiting DMU is concave (curving downwards).
- Implication: Individuals with DMU are typically risk-averse, preferring a certain outcome over a lottery with the same expected value.
- Example of DMU: The utility gain from increasing wealth from €0 to €250 should be greater than the utility gain from increasing it from €250 to €500.
- u(€250) - u(€0) > u(€500) - u(€250)
- Violation (Increasing Marginal Utility): If the utility function is convex (curving upwards), it indicates increasing marginal utility, implying risk-seeking behavior.
- Example (Bill's Case): Bill states a CE of €260 for a lottery (50% chance of €500, 50% chance of €0).
- u(€260) = 0.5 (since p=0.5)
- If u(€250) < 0.5, then the utility gain from €0 to €250 is less than 0.5, while the gain from €250 to €500 (1 - u(€250)) is more than 0.5. This violates DMU, as the later gain is larger. Bill's utility function is convex, indicating risk-seeking.
- Example (Bill's Case): Bill states a CE of €260 for a lottery (50% chance of €500, 50% chance of €0).
2. Monotonicity
📚 Definition: Monotonicity (or "more is better") implies that a higher monetary amount or a higher probability of a better outcome should always lead to higher utility or a higher certainty equivalent.
- Violation Example (Ann's Case): If Ann's utility function shows that u(€450) = 0.9 and u(€400) = 0.89, this is consistent with monotonicity. However, if she answers a higher probability equivalent for a lower amount, or vice-versa, it's a violation. For instance, if she answers PE=0.89 for €450 and PE=0.90 for €400, she violates monotonicity because a lower amount (€400) is assigned a higher utility (0.90) than a higher amount (€450) (0.89).
⚠️ Challenges and Methodological Considerations
Measuring utility is complex and faces several practical challenges:
- Cognitive Difficulty: Subjects often find it difficult to precisely determine their indifference points, leading to potential errors in responses.
- Violations of Expected Utility (EU) Theory: Many people do not strictly adhere to EU theory in their decisions, which can affect the accuracy of utility measurements based on its assumptions.
- Framing Issues: The language used in questionnaires is crucial. Terms like "indifference" are economic concepts not universally understood, potentially leading to misinterpretations. Clearer, simpler explanations are necessary.
- Lack of Real Incentives: Experiments without real monetary stakes can lead to hypothetical biases, where stated preferences may not reflect actual choices.
- Order Effects: The order in which questions are asked can influence responses.
💡 Improving Questionnaire Design
- Avoid technical jargon like "indifference."
- Provide clear, intuitive explanations of what is being asked.
- Consider using real incentives to align stated preferences with actual behavior.
🌍 Applications Beyond Monetary Outcomes
The principles of utility measurement extend beyond money to other domains.
- Health Economics: Researchers often measure the utility of different health states (e.g., a day with back pain vs. a day in full health) to evaluate healthcare treatments and policies.
- Example: To measure the utility of "a day with back pain," one might set u(full health) = 1 and u(death) = 0. Then, using the Probability Equivalent method, ask an individual: "What probability 'p' of a cure (leading to full health) would make you indifferent between living with back pain for life and a treatment that either cures you with probability 'p' or causes immediate death with probability '1-p'?" This 'p' would represent the utility value of living with back pain.
- The PE method is often more suitable for non-monetary outcomes like health states because the outcomes themselves are not numerical values that can be easily varied for a certainty equivalent.
🧩 Advanced Utility Elicitation
Utility can also be measured by observing indifferences between more complex lotteries.
- Example: If a subject is indifferent between two lotteries, such as:
- (€1000, ¼; €0, ¾) ~ (€500, ¼; €100, ¾)
- (€1000, ¼; €100, ¾) ~ (€500, ¼; €250, ¾)
- (€1000, ¼; €250, ¾) ~ (€500, ¼; €500, ¾)
- By applying EU theory and the normalization u(€0)=0, u(€500)=1, we can derive relationships between the utilities of the intermediate amounts.
- From the given indifferences, it can be shown that:
- u(€100) - u(€0) = u(€250) - u(€100) = u(€500) - u(€250)
- This implies that the utility distances between these specific monetary intervals are equal, allowing us to plot points on the utility curve (e.g., u(€100), u(€250)). This method helps in understanding the shape of the utility function and whether DMU holds.
- From the given indifferences, it can be shown that:








